Commanders vs. Buccaneers Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Wild Card Round

Published 8:36 pm Saturday, January 11, 2025

Our computer model predicts a victory for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers when they face the Washington Commanders at Raymond James Stadium on Sunday, Jan. 12 at 8 p.m. ET — for more information regarding the spread, over/under and final score, see below.

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Offensively, the Buccaneers have been a top-five unit, ranking third-best in the NFL by putting up 399.5 yards per game. They rank 18th on defense (341.8 yards allowed per game). The Commanders are generating 369.6 total yards per game on offense this season (seventh-ranked). Meanwhile, they are giving up 326.9 total yards per contest (13th-ranked).

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Commanders vs. Buccaneers Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Buccaneers (-3) Over (50.5) Buccaneers 30, Commanders 22

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Commanders Betting Info

  • The implied probability of a win by the Commanders based on the moneyline is 42.6%.
  • Washington has won 10 games against the spread this season, failing to cover seven times.
  • The Commanders are 3-3 ATS this season when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.
  • In Washington’s 17 contests this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 11 times.
  • The over/under for this game is 4.6 points higher than the average scoring total for Commanders games (playoffs included) of 45.9.

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Buccaneers Betting Info

  • Based on this game’s moneyline, the Buccaneers’ implied win probability is 61.5%.
  • Tampa Bay has won 10 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover seven times.
  • When playing as at least 3-point favorites this season, the Buccaneers have an ATS record of 5-4.
  • So far this season, 12 of Tampa Bay’s 17 games have gone over the point total.
  • The over/under in this game is 50.5 points, five higher than the average total in Buccaneers games this season.

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Commanders vs. Buccaneers 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Buccaneers 29.5 22.6 28.6 22.6 30.6 22.8
Commanders 28.5 23 30.4 21.2 26.4 25

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