How to Pick the Lightning vs. Capitals Game with Odds, Spread, Betting Line and Stats – November 27

Published 12:48 pm Tuesday, November 26, 2024

For the upcoming battle between the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Washington Capitals on Wednesday at 7:30 PM ET, we have outlined the best bets to consider, along with our picks and predictions, in the piece below.

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Lightning vs. Capitals Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 6.5 (model projecting 6.8 goals)

  • Tampa Bay and its opponent have combined to outscore Wednesday’s total (6.5 goals) nine times this season.
  • In Washington’s 21 games this season, 11 have finished with more goals than Wednesday’s over/under of 6.5.
  • The total for this game (6.5) is 1.3 less than the combined scoring averages for the Lightning (3.8) and Capitals (4.05).
  • The 5.7 goals per game these two teams allow are 0.8 less than the over/under set for this contest.

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Moneyline Pick

Lightning Moneyline: -148

  • In the 13 times this season the Lightning have been favored on the moneyline, they have gone 8-5 in those games.
  • Tampa Bay is 3-4 (winning 42.9% of its games) when playing with moneyline odds of -148 or shorter.
  • The Lightning’s implied moneyline win probability is 59.7% in this matchup.

Capitals Moneyline: +124

  • Washington has nine wins when playing as the underdog on the moneyline this season (which has happened 14 times).
  • The Capitals have five victories in games with moneyline odds of +124 or longer (in eight chances).
  • Washington’s moneyline gives it an implied probability of 44.6% to win this game.

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Tampa Bay 4, Washington 3

Lightning Points Leaders

  • With 12 goals and 19 assists this season, Nikita Kucherov is one of Tampa Bay’s leading contributors (31 points).
  • With nine goals and 17 assists, Brandon Hagel is one of the most important contributors for Tampa Bay with his 26 points (1.3 per game).
  • Anthony Cirelli has contributed 22 points for Tampa Bay in 20 games this season, scoring on 23.7% of his shots and recording nine goals and 13 assists.
  • Andrei Vasilevskiy (10-6-1) has a 2.2 goals against average and a save percentage of .915 for Tampa Bay.

Capitals Points Leaders

  • Dylan Strome is a top offensive contributor for his squad with 29 points (1.4 per game). He has scored six goals and 23 assists in 21 games (playing 17:26 per game).
  • Washington’s Alexander Ovechkin has racked up 25 total points (1.4 per game), with 15 goals and 10 assists.
  • Connor McMichael has 13 goals and seven assists for Tampa Bay.
  • Logan Thompson has a 9-1-1 record this season, with a .917 save percentage (14th in the league). In 11 games, he has 298 saves, and has given up 27 goals (2.4 goals against average).

Lightning’s Schedule

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Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
11/21/2024 Blue Jackets L 7-6 Away -184
11/23/2024 Stars L 4-2 Home -104
11/25/2024 Avalanche W 8-2 Home -115
11/27/2024 Capitals Home -148
11/29/2024 Predators Away
11/30/2024 Maple Leafs Home
12/5/2024 Sharks Home

Capitals’ Schedule

Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
11/21/2024 Avalanche L 2-1 Home +128
11/23/2024 Devils L 3-2 Home +120
11/25/2024 Panthers W 4-1 Away +144
11/27/2024 Lightning Away +124
11/29/2024 Islanders Home
11/30/2024 Devils Away
12/3/2024 Sharks Home

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Tampa Bay vs. Washington Game Info

  • Date: Wednesday, November 27, 2024
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: TNT
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Tampa, Florida
  • Venue: Amalie Arena

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