Heat vs. Wizards Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – March 3
Published 8:16 am Monday, March 3, 2025
The Miami Heat (28-31) host the Washington Wizards (11-48) in a matchup of Southeast Division teams at Kaseya Center, beginning at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday, March 3, 2025. The Wizards are 8.5-point underdogs in the game, the second matchup between the squads this season.
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Heat vs. Wizards Game Info & Odds
- Date: Monday, March 3, 2025
- Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
- How to watch on TV: FDSSUN and MNMT2
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Location: Miami, Florida
- Venue: Kaseya Center
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Heat vs. Wizards Score Prediction
- Prediction:
Heat 120 – Wizards 106
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Spread & Total Prediction for Heat vs. Wizards
- Pick ATS: Heat (- 8.5)
- Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-13.8)
- Pick OU:
Over (219.5)
- Computer Predicted Total: 225.2
- The Heat’s .475 ATS win percentage (28-31-0 ATS Record) is higher than the Wizards’ .458 mark (27-32-0 ATS Record) in 2024-25.
- When the spread is set as 8.5 or more this season, Miami (3-4) covers a higher percentage of those games when it is the favorite (42.9%) than Washington (17-24) does as the underdog (41.5%).
- Washington and its opponents have gone over the point total 50.8% of the time this season (30 out of 59). That’s less often than Miami and its opponents have (33 out of 59).
- The Heat have a .594 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (19-13) this season while the Wizards have an .186 winning percentage as a moneyline underdog (11-48).
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Heat Performance Insights
- Offensively, the Heat are averaging 110.3 points per game (24th-ranked in league). They are allowing 110.9 points per contest at the other end of the court (seventh-ranked).
- Miami is 21st in the NBA with 43.7 boards per game so far this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 21st with 45.2 rebounds allowed per contest.
- The Heat are dishing out 26.3 dimes per game, which ranks them 15th in the NBA in 2024-25.
- Miami is committing 12.7 turnovers per game (sixth-ranked in league). It is forcing 12.5 turnovers per contest (25th-ranked).
- This year, the Heat are making 13.9 treys per game (10th-ranked in NBA) and are shooting 36.1% (14th-ranked) from downtown.
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Wizards Performance Insights
- The Wizards are the fourth-worst team in the league in points scored (108.4 per game) and worst in points allowed (120.8).
- On the boards, Washington is 20th in the NBA in rebounds (43.8 per game). It is the worst in rebounds conceded (47.6 per game).
- This season the Wizards are ranked 21st in the NBA in assists at 25.2 per game.
- In 2024-25, Washington is third-worst in the NBA in turnovers committed (15.5 per game) and 23rd in turnovers forced (12.6).
- The Wizards are 17th in the NBA in 3-pointers made (13 per game) and second-worst in 3-point percentage (33.4%).
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