VCU vs. Dayton Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 7

Published 5:48 pm Thursday, February 6, 2025

Friday’s contest between the VCU Rams (18-5, 8-2 A-10) and Dayton Flyers (16-7, 6-4 A-10) at UD Arena has a good chance to be a close matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 72-70, with VCU taking home the win. Game time is at 7:00 PM ET on February 7.

Based on our computer prediction, VCU should cover the point spread, which currently sits at 1.5. The two teams are projected to go over the 138.5 over/under.

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VCU vs. Dayton Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Friday, February 7, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN2
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Dayton, Ohio
  • Venue: UD Arena
  • Line: VCU -1.5
  • Point total: 138.5
  • Moneyline (to win): VCU -118, Dayton -102

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VCU vs. Dayton Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    VCU 72, Dayton 70

Spread & Total Prediction for VCU vs. Dayton

  • Pick ATS: VCU (-1.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (138.5)

VCU has a 14-8-0 record against the spread this season compared to Dayton, who is 11-11-0 ATS. Both the Rams and the Flyers are 13-9-0 in terms of hitting the over in their games this season. The teams average 153.2 points per game, 14.7 more points than this matchup’s total. VCU is 7-3 against the spread and 8-2 overall over its past 10 contests, while Dayton has gone 3-7 against the spread and 6-4 overall.

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VCU Performance Insights

  • The Rams are outscoring opponents by 15.9 points per game with a +366 scoring differential overall. They put up 78.6 points per game (79th in college basketball) and allow 62.7 per outing (12th in college basketball).
  • The 35.2 rebounds per game VCU averages rank 46th in college basketball, and are 5.5 more than the 29.7 its opponents grab per outing.
  • VCU knocks down 9.7 three-pointers per game (34th in college basketball), 4.0 more than its opponents (5.7). It is shooting 33.3% from beyond the arc (222nd in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 30.3%.
  • The Rams’ 100.9 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 63rd in college basketball, and the 80.5 points they allow per 100 possessions rank fifth in college basketball.
  • VCU has committed 10.9 turnovers per game (134th in college basketball play), 3.1 fewer than the 14.0 it forces on average (34th in college basketball).

Dayton Performance Insights

  • The Flyers outscore opponents by 5.7 points per game (posting 74.6 points per game, 176th in college basketball, and allowing 68.9 per contest, 98th in college basketball) and have a +131 scoring differential.
  • The 30.8 rebounds per game Dayton accumulates rank 268th in the nation, 1.4 more than the 29.4 its opponents record.
  • Dayton makes 8.0 three-pointers per game (154th in college basketball) at a 35.9% rate (78th in college basketball), compared to the 8.1 its opponents make, shooting 34.1% from deep.
  • Dayton has had fewer turnovers than its opponents this season, committing 9.8 per game (37th in college basketball) while forcing 11.1 (227th in college basketball).

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