How to Pick the Capitals vs. Lightning Game with Odds, Spread, Betting Line and Stats – March 1

Published 12:46 pm Friday, February 28, 2025

There are plenty of betting possibilities to consider for the upcoming game that has the Washington Capitals facing off against the Tampa Bay Lightning at 12:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 1. To get you ready to make a bet or put together a parlay, see our best bets and predictions below.

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Capitals vs. Lightning Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 5.5 (model projecting 6.2 goals)

  • This season, 32 of Washington’s 59 games have gone over Saturday’s over/under of 5.5 goals.
  • So far this season, 31 games Tampa Bay has played finished with over 5.5 goals.
  • The Capitals score 3.63 goals per game, compared to the Lightning’s average of 3.57, adding up to 1.7 more goals than this contest’s over/under of 5.5.
  • These two teams allow a combined 5.2 goals per game, 0.3 less than this one’s over/under.

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Moneyline Pick

Capitals Moneyline: -128

  • The Capitals have won 61.8% of their games when they’ve been a moneyline favorite this season (21-13).
  • When playing with moneyline odds of -128 or shorter, Washington is 18-11 (winning 62.1% of the time).
  • Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Capitals have an implied probability of 56.1% to win.

Lightning Moneyline: +108

  • In Tampa Bay’s 16 games playing as the moneyline underdog this season, it has six wins.
  • When the Lightning’s moneyline odds are +108 or longer, they have won three games in nine opportunities.
  • Tampa Bay’s implied probability to win this game is 48.1% based on the moneyline.

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Washington 4, Tampa Bay 2

Capitals Points Leaders

  • Dylan Strome has been critical to Washington’s offense this season, recording 59 points in 59 games.
  • Aliaksei Protas has 23 goals and 27 assists for Washington to compile 50 total points (0.8 per game).
  • With 49 points through 59 games (14 goals and 35 assists), Pierre-Luc Dubois has been an important part of Washington’s offensive efforts this season.
  • Across 33 games played, Logan Thompson has a goaltending record of 25-3-5. During those games, he’s allowed 75 goals while recording 855 saves.

Lightning Points Leaders

  • Nikita Kucherov is among the top options on offense for Tampa Bay, with 85 points this season. He has recorded 27 goals and 58 assists in 55 games.
  • Tampa Bay’s Brandon Hagel has racked up 67 total points (1.2 per game), with 29 goals and 38 assists.
  • Brayden Point has 31 goals and 29 assists, for a season point total of 60.
  • Andrei Vasilevskiy has a record of 28-15-3 in 46 games this season, conceding 100 goals (2.2 goals against average) with 1182 saves and a .922 save percentage, fourth-best in the league.

Capitals’ Schedule

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Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
2/23/2025 Oilers W 7-3 Home +117
2/25/2025 Flames L 3-1 Home -201
2/27/2025 Blues L 5-2 Home -164
3/1/2025 Lightning Home -128
3/3/2025 Senators Home
3/5/2025 Rangers Away
3/7/2025 Red Wings Home

Lightning’s Schedule

Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
2/23/2025 Kraken W 4-1 Home -279
2/25/2025 Oilers W 4-1 Home -120
2/27/2025 Flames W 3-0 Home -219
3/1/2025 Capitals Away +108
3/3/2025 Panthers Away
3/4/2025 Blue Jackets Home
3/6/2025 Sabres Home

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Washington vs. Tampa Bay Game Info

  • Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 p.m. ET
  • How to watch on TV: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Location: Washington D.C.
  • Venue: Capital One Arena

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