Dayton vs. Richmond Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – March 1

Published 5:48 pm Friday, February 28, 2025

Saturday’s contest between the Dayton Flyers (19-9, 9-6 A-10) and Richmond Spiders (10-19, 5-11 A-10) at UD Arena has a projected final score of 79-64 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of heavily favored Dayton, so it should be a lopsided matchup. The game will begin at 2 p.m. ET on March 1.

According to our computer prediction, Richmond projects to cover the 15.5-point spread in its matchup versus Dayton. The total is currently listed at 138.5, and the two teams are projected to hit the over.

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Dayton vs. Richmond Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
  • Time: 2 p.m. ET
  • TV: CBS Sports Network
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Paramount+ (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Dayton, Ohio
  • Venue: UD Arena
  • Line: Dayton -15.5
  • Point total: 138.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Dayton -2000, Richmond +980

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Dayton vs. Richmond Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Dayton 79, Richmond 64

Spread & Total Prediction for Dayton vs. Richmond

  • Pick ATS: Richmond (+15.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (138.5)

Dayton is 13-14-0 against the spread this season compared to Richmond’s 9-18-0 ATS record. The Flyers have an 18-9-0 record hitting the over, while games involving the Spiders have a record of 14-13-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The teams average 142.6 points per game, 4.1 more points than this matchup’s total. Dayton is 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall over its past 10 contests, while Richmond has gone 3-7 against the spread and 3-7 overall.

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Dayton Performance Insights

  • The Flyers outscore opponents by 5.3 points per game (scoring 75.4 points per game to rank 137th in college basketball while allowing 70.1 per outing to rank 125th in college basketball) and have a +148 scoring differential overall.
  • Dayton pulls down 30.4 rebounds per game (277th in college basketball) compared to the 29.7 of its opponents.
  • Dayton connects on 7.9 three-pointers per game (157th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 7.8 on average.
  • The Flyers rank 54th in college basketball with 101.4 points scored per 100 possessions, and 209th in college basketball defensively with 94.3 points conceded per 100 possessions.
  • Dayton has committed 1.6 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 10.0 (64th in college basketball action) while forcing 11.6 (164th in college basketball).

Richmond Performance Insights

  • The Spiders put up 67.2 points per game (332nd in college basketball) while giving up 72.2 per outing (193rd in college basketball). They have a -147 scoring differential and have been outscored by 5.0 points per game.
  • The 28.8 rebounds per game Richmond accumulates rank 331st in college basketball, 4.1 fewer than the 32.9 its opponents collect.
  • Richmond makes 1.5 fewer threes per game than the opposition, 7.8 (163rd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 9.3.
  • Richmond and its opponents have been relatively even in the turnover battle. The Spiders commit 9.3 per game (21st in college basketball) and force 10.0 (312th in college basketball).

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