UMass vs. Richmond Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 4

Published 9:51 pm Friday, January 3, 2025

Saturday’s contest between the UMass Minutemen (5-9, 0-1 A-10) and Richmond Spiders (6-8, 1-0 A-10) going head to head at William D. Mullins Center has a projected final score of 77-70 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of UMass, who is listed as the favorite by our model. The game will tip off at 12:00 PM ET on January 4.

According to our computer prediction, UMass is projected to cover the point spread (5.5) versus Richmond. The two sides are expected to go under the 147.5 total.

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UMass vs. Richmond Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, January 4, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Amherst, Massachusetts
  • Venue: William D. Mullins Center
  • Line: UMass -5.5
  • Point total: 147.5
  • Moneyline (to win): UMass -245, Richmond +194

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UMass vs. Richmond Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    UMass 77, Richmond 70

Spread & Total Prediction for UMass vs. Richmond

  • Pick ATS: UMass (-5.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (147.5)

UMass has a 5-8-0 record against the spread so far this season compared to Richmond, who is 3-9-0 ATS. The Minutemen have a 9-4-0 record going over the point total, while games involving the Spiders have a record of 7-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The two teams average 145.4 points per game combined, 2.1 less than this matchup’s total. UMass has a 3-7 record against the spread while going 3-7 overall over the past 10 games. Richmond has gone 3-7 against the spread and 4-6 overall in its last 10 contests.

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UMass Performance Insights

  • The Minutemen score 74.2 points per game (218th in college basketball) and allow 75.2 (281st in college basketball) for a -14 scoring differential overall.
  • UMass wins the rebound battle by 1.3 boards on average. It records 34.9 rebounds per game, which ranks 80th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 33.6 per outing.
  • UMass knocks down 5.4 three-pointers per game (352nd in college basketball) at a 26.2% rate (362nd in college basketball), compared to the 8.0 per outing its opponents make while shooting 33.1% from beyond the arc.
  • The Minutemen’s 88.8 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 316th in college basketball, and the 90.0 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 159th in college basketball.
  • UMass has typically won the turnover battle this season, committing 11.0 per game (137th in college basketball action) while forcing 13.1 (98th in college basketball).

Richmond Performance Insights

  • The Spiders are being outscored by 2.4 points per game, with a -34 scoring differential overall. They put up 71.2 points per game (282nd in college basketball), and allow 73.6 per outing (251st in college basketball).
  • Richmond averages 32.1 rebounds per game (237th in college basketball) while conceding 33.9 per contest to opponents. It is outrebounded by 1.8 boards per game.
  • Richmond makes 7.7 three-pointers per game (199th in college basketball) while shooting 29.0% from deep (341st in college basketball). It is making 1.4 fewer threes than its opponents, who drain 9.1 per game at 34.2%.
  • Richmond and its opponents have been relatively even in the turnover battle. The Spiders commit 9.5 per game (26th in college basketball) and force 9.6 (338th in college basketball).

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