Commanders vs. Lions Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Divisional Round
Published 8:36 pm Friday, January 17, 2025
According to our computer model, the Detroit Lions will beat the Washington Commanders when they square off at Ford Field on Saturday, Jan. 18 (at 8 p.m. ET). We have more projections, regarding the point spread, total and final score, available below.
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The Lions rank seventh in scoring defense this season (20.1 points allowed per game), but they’ve been thriving on the offensive side of the ball, ranking best in the NFL with 33.2 points per game. In terms of total yards, the Commanders rank seventh in the NFL (369.6 total yards per game) and 13th defensively (326.9 total yards allowed per contest).
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Commanders vs. Lions Predictions and Picks
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Lions (-9.5) | Under (55.5) | Lions 33, Commanders 19 |
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Commanders Betting Info
- The implied probability of a win by the Commanders based on the moneyline is 20.0%.
- Washington went 10-7-0 ATS during the regular season and is 1-0-0 in the playoffs.
- In the regular season, 11 Washington games went over the point total, and zero of one in the postseason.
- The over/under for this game is 9.6 points higher than the average scoring total for Commanders games in the regular season (45.9).
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Lions Betting Info
- The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Lions an 84.6% chance to win.
- Detroit is 12-5-0 ATS this season.
- The Lions have covered the spread twice this season (2-1 ATS) when playing as at least 9.5-point favorites.
- A total of nine out of 17 Detroit games this season have gone over the point total.
- Lions games this season have posted an average total of 50.4, which is 5.1 points fewer than the total for this matchup.
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Commanders vs. Lions 2024 Scoring Insights
| Pts | Pts Allowed | Home Pts | Home Pts Allowed | Away Pts | Away Pts Allowed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions | 33.2 | 20.1 | 35.3 | 21.9 | 30.8 | 18.1 |
| Commanders | 28.5 | 23 | 30.4 | 21.2 | 26.4 | 25 |
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