According to our computer model, the Washington Commanders will defeat the Dallas Cowboys when they play at AT&T Stadium on Sunday, Jan. 5 (at 1 p.m. ET). We have more projections, regarding the point spread, total and final score, available in this article.

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Offensively, the Commanders have been a top-five unit, ranking fifth-best in the NFL by totaling 28.9 points per game. They rank 19th on defense (23.3 points allowed per game). The Cowboys have not been getting things done defensively, ranking second-worst with 27.8 points surrendered per game. They have been more effective on offense, compiling 20.7 points per contest (21st-ranked).

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Commanders vs. Cowboys Predictions and Picks

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Commanders Betting Info

• The Commanders have an implied moneyline win probability of 75.0% in this matchup.
• Washington is 10-6-0 ATS this season.
• The Commanders have been favored by 6.5 points or more three times this season, and covered the spread in one of those matchups.
• Washington and its opponent have combined to go over the point total 11 out of 16 times this season.
• The point total average for Commanders games this season is 46.1, 2.1 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Cowboys Betting Info

• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cowboys have a 29.4% chance to win.
• Dallas is 6-10-0 ATS this year.
• The Cowboys have covered the spread once when an underdog by 6.5 points or more this season (in four opportunities).
• So far this year, 11 of Dallas’ 16 games with a set number have gone over the point total.
• The average total points scored in Cowboys games (playoffs included) this year (44) is 1.3 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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Commanders vs. Cowboys 2024 Scoring Insights

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