How to Pick the Capitals vs. Maple Leafs Game with Odds, Spread, Betting Line and Stats – December 28

Published 12:46 am Saturday, December 28, 2024

Looking to place some wagers on the upcoming contest (Saturday at 7:00 PM ET) between the Washington Capitals and the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena Below, we submit our best bets, along with our picks and projections for this matchup.

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Capitals vs. Maple Leafs Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 6 (model projecting 6.1 goals)

  • A total of 19 Washington games this season have gone over Saturday’s total of 6 goals.
  • This season, 21 of Toronto’s games have featured more than 6 goals.
  • These two teams combine for 6.8 goals per game, 0.8200000000000003 more than the total for this contest.
  • This game’s over/under is 0.6 more than the 5.4 goals these two teams concede per game combined.

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Moneyline Pick

Capitals Moneyline: -123

  • The Capitals have been victorious in 10 of their 14 games when they were favored on the moneyline this season (71.4%).
  • When it has played with moneyline odds of -123 or shorter, Washington is 9-4 (winning 69.2% of the time).
  • Based on the moneyline in this game, the Capitals’ implied win probability is 55.2%.

Maple Leafs Moneyline: +103

  • Toronto has six wins when playing as the moneyline underdog this season (which has happened eight times).
  • The Maple Leafs have five victories in games with moneyline odds of +103 or longer (in seven chances).
  • Toronto’s implied probability to win this matchup is 49.3% based on the moneyline.

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Toronto 4, Washington 3

Capitals Points Leaders

  • With 11 goals and 27 assists this season, Dylan Strome is one of Washington’s top contributors (38 points).
  • With 16 goals and 13 assists, Connor McMichael is one of the most important contributors for Washington with his 29 points (0.9 per game).
  • Washington’s scoring effort is aided by Aliaksei Protas’ 29 points. He’s contributed 15 assists.
  • Across 17 games played, Logan Thompson has a goaltending record of 13-2-2. During those games, he’s allowed 41 goals while recording 433 saves.

Maple Leafs Points Leaders

  • Mitchell Marner’s 13 goals and 36 assists in 36 matchups give him 49 points on the season, making him a key part of his team’s offense.
  • William Nylander’s 41 points this season, including 23 goals and 18 assists, make him one of the top offensive threats for Toronto.
  • Toronto’s John Tavares has 36 points (17 goals, 19 assists) this season.
  • Anthony Stolarz has a 9-5-2 record this season, with a .927 save percentage (third-best in the league). In 17 games, he has 445 saves, and has given up 35 goals (2.2 goals against average).

Capitals’ Schedule

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Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
12/20/2024 Hurricanes W 3-1 Home +133
12/22/2024 Kings W 3-1 Home -160
12/23/2024 Bruins L 4-1 Away +118
12/28/2024 Maple Leafs Away -123
12/29/2024 Red Wings Away
12/31/2024 Bruins Home
1/2/2025 Wild Home

Maple Leafs’ Schedule

Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
12/21/2024 Islanders L 6-3 Home -138
12/23/2024 Jets L 5-2 Home -130
12/27/2024 Red Wings W 5-2 Away -135
12/28/2024 Capitals Home +103
12/31/2024 Islanders Home
1/2/2025 Islanders Away
1/4/2025 Bruins Home

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Washington vs. Toronto Game Info

  • Date: Saturday, December 28, 2024
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: NHL Network
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Toronto, Ontario
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

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