According to our computer model, the Washington Commanders will beat the Atlanta Falcons when they play at Commanders Field on Sunday, Dec. 29 (at 8:20 p.m. ET). We have more projections, regarding the point spread, total and final score, available in this article.

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On the offensive side of the ball, the Commanders have been a top-five unit, ranking fifth-best in the NFL by putting up 373.5 yards per game. They rank 10th on defense (322.9 yards allowed per game). In terms of points scored the Falcons rank 17th in the NFL (21.8 points per game), and they are 20th defensively (23.3 points allowed per contest).

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Commanders vs. Falcons Predictions and Picks

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Commanders Betting Info

• Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Commanders’ implied win probability is 65.5%.
• Washington is 9-6-0 ATS this season.
• The Commanders have an ATS record of 3-2 when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites this season.
• In Washington’s 15 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 10 times.
• The over/under in this game is 46.5 points, 0.4 higher than the average total in Commanders games this season.

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Falcons Betting Info

• The moneyline for this contest implies a 39.2% chance of a victory for the Falcons.
• Atlanta is 6-8-1 ATS this season.
• The Falcons have covered the spread once when an underdog by 3.5 points or more this year (in two opportunities).
• Atlanta games have gone over the point total five out of 15 times this year.
• Games involving the Falcons this year have averaged 46 points per game, a 0.5-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.

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Commanders vs. Falcons 2024 Scoring Insights

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