Saturday’s game at Joan Perry Brock Center has the Longwood Lancers (1-0) squaring off against the Morgan State Bears (1-1) at 3:00 PM ET. Our computer prediction is a lopsided 80-66 win, as our model heavily favors Longwood.

According to our computer prediction, Longwood projects to cover the 11.5-point spread in its matchup against Morgan State. The over/under has been set at 149.5, and the two sides are projected to fall short of that total.

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Longwood vs. Morgan State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, November 9, 2024
• Time: 3:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Farmville, Virginia
• Venue: Joan Perry Brock Center
• Line: Longwood -11.5
• Point total: 149.5
• Moneyline (to win): Longwood -800, Morgan State +520

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Longwood vs. Morgan State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Longwood 80, Morgan State 66

Spread & Total Prediction for Longwood vs. Morgan State

• Pick ATS: Longwood (-11.5)
• Pick OU: Under (149.5)

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Longwood Performance Insights

• Longwood put up 74.7 points per game and gave up 68.5 last year, making them 143rd in the nation on offense and 73rd defensively.
• On the glass, the Lancers were 32nd in college basketball in rebounds (35.7 per game) last season. They were sixth-best in rebounds conceded (26.8 per game).
• Longwood was 216th in the country in assists (12.7 per game) last season.
• Beyond the arc, the Lancers were 327th in college basketball in 3-pointers made per game (5.7) last season. They were 171st in 3-point percentage at 34.1%.
• Defensively, Longwood was 204th in the nation in 3-pointers conceded per game at 7.5 last year. It was 258th in 3-point percentage conceded at 34.7%.
• The Lancers took 28.7% percent of their shots from beyond the arc last year, and 71.3% percent from inside it. In terms of makes, 21.6% of the Lancers’ buckets were 3-pointers, and 78.4% were 2-pointers.

Morgan State Performance Insights

• Last season Morgan State posted 72.7 points per game (200th-ranked in college basketball) and ceded 77.5 points per contest (324th-ranked).
• With 31.9 boards per game, the Bears ranked 184th in the nation. They allowed 33.4 rebounds per contest, which ranked 287th in college basketball.
• Last season Morgan State ranked 231st in college basketball in assists, putting up 12.5 per game.
• The Bears came up short in the turnover area last year, ranking ninth-worst in college basketball with 14.2 turnovers per game. They ranked 78th with 12.5 forced turnovers per contest.
• It was rough sledding for the Bears in terms of threes, as they recorded just 4.8 made threes per game (sixth-worst in college basketball) and made just 29.3% of their attempted treys (15th-worst).
• Morgan State ceded 6.8 threes per game (107th-ranked in college basketball). It allowed opponents to shoot 34.3% (234th-ranked) from downtown.
• Morgan State attempted 43.8 two-pointers per game last season, which accounted for 72.9% of the shots it attempted (and 82.4% of the team’s baskets). Meanwhile, it attempted 16.3 threes per contest, which were 27.1% of its shots (and 17.6% of the team’s buckets).

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