Commanders vs. Buccaneers Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 1
Published 4:37 pm Saturday, September 7, 2024
Our computer model predicts a win for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers when they meet the Washington Commanders at Raymond James Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 8 at 4:25 p.m. ET — for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score, see below.
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The Buccaneers compiled 20.5 points per game on offense last season (20th in NFL), and they ranked sixth on defense with 19.1 points allowed per game. The Commanders sported the 24th-ranked offense last season (312.8 yards per game), and they were worse on defense, ranking worst with 388.9 yards allowed per game.
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Commanders vs. Buccaneers Predictions and Picks
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers (-3.5) | Over (42.5) | Buccaneers 32, Commanders 13 |
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Commanders Betting Info
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 40.0% chance of a victory for the Commanders.
- Washington put together a 6-10-1 ATS record last year.
- The Commanders were an underdog by 3.5 points or more 10 times last season, and covered the spread in three of those contests.
- Washington games went over the point total 10 out of 17 times last season.
- Last season, Commanders games resulted in an average scoring total of 43, which is 0.5 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
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Buccaneers Betting Info
- The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Buccaneers a 64.9% chance to win.
- Tampa Bay covered 11 times in 17 games with a spread last season.
- The Buccaneers covered the spread once last season (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
- Tampa Bay games hit the over six out of 17 times last season.
- Buccaneers games last season posted an average total of 41.3, which is 1.2 points fewer than the total for this matchup.
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Commanders vs. Buccaneers 2023 Scoring Insights
| Pts | Pts Allowed | Home Pts | Home Pts Allowed | Away Pts | Away Pts Allowed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers | 20.5 | 19.1 | 17.6 | 17.1 | 23 | 20.9 |
| Commanders | 19.4 | 30.5 | 16 | 34 | 22.3 | 27.3 |
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